1okx
0x6f2635a5299351b9e45b2edb34927aff038393bc
- Realised P&L
- $-740.60
- Volume
- $167.0k
- Markets traded
- 692
- Open portfolio
- $43.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded692
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.80at 0.806Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$68.28at 0.353Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 21?
- +$65.50at 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
- +$53.67at 0.525Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 21?
- +$41.43at 0.309Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 02:06 | Will it rain in New York, NY on October 4? | SELL | 0.69 | $14.49 |
| 09-20 05:08 | Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 20? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 09-20 05:07 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 20? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.42 |
| 09-20 05:06 | Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 20? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 09-06 09:34 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $62.5B by September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $41.86 |
| 09-05 10:28 | Will Trump say "King" this week? | SELL | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 09-01 15:48 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 15:55 | Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 08-31 15:55 | Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 08-31 15:55 | Will Louisville, KY face tornado risk on August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 08-31 15:54 | Will Atlanta, GA face tornado risk on August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 08-28 14:56 | Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on August 28? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.90 |
| 08-28 14:55 | Will Charlotte, NC face tornado risk on August 28? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 14:55 | Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on August 28? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 08-28 14:54 | Will Houston, TX face tornado risk on August 28? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.00 |