Mantzuraj
0x6f1901e9a069db659339b086d50d6e02da93b9ff
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $2.59M
- Markets traded
- 3,339
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,339
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.156Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.9kat 0.230Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
- +$1.8kat 0.530Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$1.7kat 0.463Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5
- +$1.7kat 0.170Will India win the match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:44 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | BUY | 0.934 | $279.27 |
| 08-03 14:44 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $39.06 |
| 08-03 12:11 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | BUY | 0.922 | $197.47 |
| 08-03 03:28 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $166.15 |
| 08-03 02:26 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 18:28 | Spread: CD Concepción (-1.5) | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 03:47 | Ascoli Calcio 1898 vs. Lazio Rome: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $105.58 |
| 08-02 01:04 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $153.75 |
| 08-02 00:41 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 00:41 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.7896041676 | $169.76 |
| 08-02 00:27 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $61.44 |
| 08-02 00:27 | Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $9.63 |
| 08-01 23:20 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.995 | $16.91 |
| 08-01 19:34 | IK Start vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $18.30 |