0x6f0958bcfc84cf989c30eda634d580a3e96b29e4
0x6f0958bcfc84cf989c30eda634d580a3e96b29e4
- Realised P&L
- $3.29
- Volume
- $232.68
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $1.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.175 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.89at 0.288Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.89at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:41 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 06:36 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 21:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 00:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 15:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:57 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:41 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 19:37 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 08:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:02 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |