Speliyvoin
0x6f08cec1354be9dc47ad582435df43f8d6882ae3
- Realised P&L
- $475.91
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $174.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.981 | $57.01 | +$1.02 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat? · No | 0.980 | 0.980 | $51.06 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.966 | 0.953 | $47.57 | −$0.67 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · No | 0.979 | 0.956 | $18.45 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.00at 0.530Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$1.33at 0.961Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
- +$0.74at 0.966Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
- +$0.69at 0.940OKX IPO in 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.950Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 10:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.79 |
| 07-27 10:04 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.84 |
| 06-03 06:46 | Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |