jianyang69
0x6efcf8f2bb054057ae8b044fb9a746b13b61c98b
- Realised P&L
- $-12.3k
- Volume
- $821.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.055 | $8.3k | −$17.0k |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.0kat 0.741Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 00:15 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $510.00 |
| 04-05 00:14 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $18.7k |
| 04-04 20:53 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.1k |
| 03-14 19:57 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0673447795 | $1.1k |
| 03-14 19:57 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.068 | $1.7k |
| 03-14 19:56 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0689970155 | $693.56 |
| 03-14 19:55 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.066 | $344.45 |
| 03-14 19:55 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0678722472 | $778.13 |
| 03-14 19:53 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0695345288 | $2.7k |
| 03-14 19:52 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0672676954 | $2.1k |
| 03-14 19:49 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0636191878 | $1.3k |
| 03-14 19:43 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.061 | $7.39 |
| 03-14 19:42 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0597742742 | $9.3k |
| 03-14 19:34 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0553908027 | $1.1k |
| 02-28 19:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.959 | $6.33 |