Moltenpick
0x6ef132893df847c50994b84b437ca27f26eb4a76
- Realised P&L
- $-900.40
- Volume
- $54.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,131
- Open portfolio
- $402.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,131
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texas (-8.5) · Oklahoma | 0.520 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$24.00 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-10.5) · California | 0.470 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$26.50 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-5.5) · Akron | 0.510 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$24.50 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-14.5) · Arkansas | 0.550 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$22.50 |
| Spread: Duke (-4.5) · Georgia Tech | 0.510 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$24.50 |
| Spread: James Madison (-8.5) · Georgia Southern | 0.550 | 0.700 | $35.00 | +$7.50 |
| Spread: Minnesota (-3.5) · Purdue | 0.560 | 0.775 | $34.88 | +$9.68 |
| Spread: Nevada (-8.5) · Nevada | 0.530 | 0.570 | $28.50 | +$2.00 |
| Spread: Air Force (-8.5) · Northern Illinois | 0.560 | 0.490 | $22.05 | −$3.15 |
| Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 53.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.300 | $18.00 | −$9.60 |
| Spread: LSU (-7.5) · LSU | 0.530 | 0.235 | $14.10 | −$17.70 |
| Will Paksi FC win on 2026-08-16? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| Will Servette Geneva vs. FC Basel 1893 end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will Blackpool FC vs. Peterborough United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.48at 0.671Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?
- +$47.54at 0.136Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
- +$43.82at 0.270Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?
- +$41.98at 0.300Will En Avant Guingamp vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?
- +$41.98at 0.300Will Portsmouth FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:59 | Spread: Minnesota (-3.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $25.20 |
| 10-10 19:57 | Spread: Air Force (-8.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $25.20 |
| 10-10 19:56 | Spread: James Madison (-8.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 10-10 19:53 | Spread: Nevada (-8.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 10-10 19:49 | Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $27.60 |
| 10-10 19:45 | Spread: LSU (-7.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $31.80 |
| 10-10 19:42 | Spread: Tennessee (-14.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 10-10 19:41 | Spread: Temple (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $23.40 |
| 10-10 19:39 | Spread: Texas (-8.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 10-10 19:29 | Illinois vs. Michigan State | BUY | 0.44 | $19.80 |
| 10-10 19:28 | Houston vs. Kansas State | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 10-10 19:27 | Spread: Duke (-4.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 10-10 19:26 | Spread: Oregon (-7.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $34.20 |
| 10-10 19:25 | Spread: Virginia Tech (-10.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 10-10 19:24 | Spread: Eastern Michigan (-5.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |