MackaJanson
0x6ee89d857ede7924fda771254f7a1c731edbafc9
- Realised P&L
- $-233.09
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $143.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.180 | $122.46 | −$92.14 |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.085 | $21.13 | −$27.87 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Down | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Down | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.38at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$103.29at 0.326Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$72.89at 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$38.11at 0.536Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
- +$36.02at 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 21:22 | US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | BUY | 0.1970783386 | $49.00 |
| 09-12 12:47 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 12:40 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.32 | $213.50 |
| 09-12 11:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 13:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999956 | $26.50 |
| 04-14 13:20 | Will Trump post "UFC" this week on Truth Social? | SELL | 0.203415 | $8.14 |
| 04-14 13:20 | Will "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13) | SELL | 0.1186892489 | $1.61 |
| 04-14 13:20 | Will "NASA" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13) | SELL | 0.0948462665 | $1.30 |
| 04-14 13:20 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 19) | SELL | 0.163 | $8.15 |
| 04-14 13:20 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April? | SELL | 0.2844265698 | $10.96 |
| 04-14 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $21.75 |
| 04-14 13:18 | Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | SELL | 0.36 | $25.20 |
| 04-14 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3226699777 | $136.76 |
| 04-14 11:58 | Will "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13) | BUY | 0.25 | $3.29 |