oledjo
0x6ee846ba35cc9a2a0eb424f77840959b9a64e17b
- Realised P&L
- $-131.25
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $155.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.625 | $74.99 | −$12.60 |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 85.5 | 0.900 | 0.920 | $37.72 | +$0.82 |
| Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 80.5 | 0.660 | 0.640 | $25.60 | −$0.80 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 87.5 | 0.860 | 0.875 | $16.76 | +$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.05at 0.417US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$75.17at 0.676Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$71.32at 0.342Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$70.39at 0.190Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$68.55at 0.745Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.74 | $44.40 |
| 09-24 15:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.75 |
| 09-24 15:11 | Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | BUY | 0.66 | $26.40 |
| 09-24 15:11 | Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.90 |
| 09-24 15:10 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.45 |
| 09-20 19:08 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.991 | $109.01 |
| 09-20 17:59 | Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.0757396795 | $20.75 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.7299999993 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 16:08 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0791787333 | $47.51 |
| 09-20 16:08 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.08 | $66.40 |
| 08-31 20:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $386.36 |
| 08-31 20:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $54.88 |
| 08-02 09:26 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.36 | $298.80 |
| 07-29 20:41 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.7062133045 | $123.89 |
| 07-22 20:21 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.887 | $97.57 |