Sbona
0x6eddd3bd8bd58036f4c3165ce79b74f59bca4e01
- Realised P&L
- $-42.63
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $0.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.09at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$8.96at 0.002Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?
- +$8.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$6.99at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$4.70at 0.098Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 13:37 | Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.0059096774 | $0.37 |
| 07-31 13:34 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8329999942 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 05:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.18 |
| 07-29 07:26 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999048 | $1.50 |
| 07-29 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 07:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:33 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.10 |
| 07-26 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 07:11 | Will Luka Dončić be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.0064694836 | $0.14 |
| 07-26 07:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |