lrodrigopb
0x6ecd6a8913090be99da57fb9d07b5a3b4c1ce963
- Realised P&L
- $-77.72
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $784.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.925 | $303.78 | +$14.78 |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.915 | $265.65 | −$4.35 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $214.85 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.66at 0.908Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
- +$53.16at 0.790Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
- +$27.80at 0.899Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
- +$10.74at 0.950Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
- +$8.40at 0.964Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 13:36 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.7604255538 | $296.27 |
| 09-07 00:53 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $300.00 |
| 08-16 14:54 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $289.00 |
| 08-16 02:18 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $160.16 |
| 08-16 01:02 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8799999998 | $162.00 |
| 08-16 01:01 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $216.00 |
| 08-16 01:01 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $270.00 |
| 06-18 00:26 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.994 | $162.00 |
| 05-30 21:00 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $80.73 |
| 05-25 21:31 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | BUY | 0.8762001911 | $445.04 |
| 05-25 21:31 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.66 | $452.92 |
| 04-11 04:40 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8642165079 | $358.00 |
| 03-20 13:13 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.2026114704 | $143.18 |
| 03-19 02:22 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $204.00 |
| 03-19 02:21 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | BUY | 0.9186490453 | $204.00 |