PolyBot

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Traders

StormForge63

0x6ecae9c51d8284aebb25d0f1fa6a04e8f86cdfd7

Realised P&L
$-15.97
Volume
$536.05
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$0.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? · Yes0.3430.001$0.01$9.99
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.0760.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 17? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17?SELL0.4598337596$7.19
09-17 18:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 17?SELL0.999$13.94
09-17 18:58Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17?SELL0.999$14.93
09-17 15:44Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?BUY0.342754994$10.00
09-17 15:02Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.7668049621$12.00
09-17 15:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.8031066306$12.00
09-17 15:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.8599999928$12.00
09-16 21:55Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.0454256382$1.00
09-16 21:55Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.0761904762$1.00
09-08 17:50Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 9?SELL0.03$1.20
09-08 17:50Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C or higher on September 9?SELL0.01$0.95
09-08 17:49Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 9?SELL0.04$1.60
09-08 17:11Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 9?SELL0.03625$0.29
09-08 13:11Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 9?SELL0.19625$1.57
09-08 12:42Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 9?BUY0.25$2.00