StormForge63
0x6ecae9c51d8284aebb25d0f1fa6a04e8f86cdfd7
- Realised P&L
- $-15.97
- Volume
- $536.05
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.81at 0.811Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17?
- +$1.85at 0.866Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 17?
- +$-0.57at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 9?
- +$-0.95at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 9?
- +$-1.19at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C or higher on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.4598337596 | $7.19 |
| 09-17 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.94 |
| 09-17 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.93 |
| 09-17 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.342754994 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.7668049621 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8031066306 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.8599999928 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0454256382 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0761904762 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.20 |
| 09-08 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C or higher on September 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.95 |
| 09-08 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 09-08 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 9? | SELL | 0.03625 | $0.29 |
| 09-08 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 9? | SELL | 0.19625 | $1.57 |
| 09-08 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |