pollo200000
0x6ec52e9c24ff63c7280590ce4348c26d3337465a
- Realised P&L
- $-51.9k
- Volume
- $1.99M
- Markets traded
- 3,103
- Open portfolio
- $436.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,103
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 3 Winner · Team Synapse | 0.916 | 1.000 | $229.35 | +$19.17 |
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner · Yellow Submarine | 0.795 | 1.000 | $176.20 | +$35.96 |
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 4 Winner · Yellow Submarine | 0.528 | 0.700 | $31.04 | +$7.62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Up | 0.453 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$84.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Down | 0.884 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winner · GamerLegion | 0.609 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down | 0.642 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · 1win | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$157.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.205Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$660.53at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$613.32at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$593.27at 0.895Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$488.68at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 17:13 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.47 | $3.63 |
| 09-25 17:12 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5280797071 | $27.50 |
| 09-25 16:00 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.9159543206 | $210.18 |
| 09-25 14:58 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.42 | $73.50 |
| 09-25 14:48 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7955022595 | $279.45 |
| 09-25 14:03 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.3107928934 | $61.23 |
| 09-25 13:54 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $312.66 |
| 09-25 13:41 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.8299999947 | $62.64 |
| 09-25 12:20 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.56 | $24.64 |
| 09-25 12:20 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.609441491 | $54.56 |
| 09-25 11:06 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6499999975 | $142.71 |
| 09-25 10:03 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.47 | $20.68 |
| 09-25 09:47 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.6799999982 | $60.20 |
| 09-25 08:45 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $200.54 |
| 09-25 07:39 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4199999997 | $27.28 |