fibvit
0x6ebf6f83a16124d83599207cfbbcb4f3d95049e5
- Realised P&L
- $-151.60
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $31.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $30.00 | −$129.99 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.022 | $1.93 | −$0.81 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.061Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.30at 0.005Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.43at 0.05410.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- +$-1.12at 0.049Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$-3.91at 0.218Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 12:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-09 20:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-09 20:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-09 18:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-08 12:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-08 12:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-08 08:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-07 19:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-04 15:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 08-24 08:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 08-24 07:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 08-24 07:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 08-24 07:49 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 08-24 06:09 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.097 | $4.78 |
| 08-24 06:08 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $2.65 |