PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6EAD18ED0A6dd44425E26Db30dB9eb5a28A914F8-1772823852768

0x6ead18ed0a6dd44425e26db30db9eb5a28a914f8

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$72.4k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.6900.815$403.60+$61.71
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.4750.825$347.27+$147.27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.6770.700$206.85+$6.85
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.6700.875$130.60+$30.60
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.6850.855$112.51+$22.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.5600.605$108.04+$8.04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.5820.870$104.70+$34.70
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026? · No0.4340.920$101.20+$53.40
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes0.6800.340$100.00−$100.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.5400.595$95.20+$8.80
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3980.345$86.79−$13.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6700.815$81.50+$14.50
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.5190.560$62.16+$4.49
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · No0.2980.386$51.74+$11.74
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? · No0.6800.745$49.30+$4.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:19Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.65$57.20
10-03 18:53Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.4$29.62
10-03 18:53Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.39$0.39
10-03 18:52Will Together be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.52$55.12
10-03 18:52Will Together be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.51$2.55
10-03 18:51Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.52$33.92
10-03 18:49Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.39$46.80
10-03 18:47Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.61$12.08
10-03 17:10Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.93$228.51
10-01 21:24US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.54$86.40
10-01 21:23Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.26$33.80
10-01 21:17Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.93$54.87
10-01 05:03Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?BUY0.32$6.72
09-29 20:42US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
09-29 20:18Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?SELL0.9119212078$153.12