0x6EAD18ED0A6dd44425E26Db30dB9eb5a28A914F8-1772823852768
0x6ead18ed0a6dd44425e26db30db9eb5a28a914f8
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $72.4k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.85at 0.513Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$210.07at 0.649Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$198.24at 0.750Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$182.54at 0.679Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$162.95at 0.523Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:19 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.65 | $57.20 |
| 10-03 18:53 | Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.4 | $29.62 |
| 10-03 18:53 | Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.39 | $0.39 |
| 10-03 18:52 | Will Together be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.52 | $55.12 |
| 10-03 18:52 | Will Together be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-03 18:51 | Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.52 | $33.92 |
| 10-03 18:49 | Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.39 | $46.80 |
| 10-03 18:47 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.08 |
| 10-03 17:10 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $228.51 |
| 10-01 21:24 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $86.40 |
| 10-01 21:23 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $33.80 |
| 10-01 21:17 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $54.87 |
| 10-01 05:03 | Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.72 |
| 09-29 20:42 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 20:18 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | SELL | 0.9119212078 | $153.12 |