0x6eab668514e5566b7ddce00403718e383b60b576
- Realised P&L
- $563.74
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $295.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $191.71 | −$8.33 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.085 | $104.12 | −$30.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.73at 0.299Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?
- +$225.12at 0.045Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$162.84at 0.360Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-20.00at 0.200Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 17:25 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1099999994 | $134.74 |
| 07-23 11:14 | Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59? | BUY | 0.2987456518 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 21:12 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $200.04 |
| 07-19 22:31 | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1030409504 | $22.90 |
| 07-19 22:30 | Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 22:24 | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0449999979 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 22:22 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $254.58 |
| 07-16 10:43 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.359999998 | $91.74 |