0x6eab0c00A0ACD5EBCF4F3eAdF6197298DF0A3A90-1782827187603
0x6eab0c00a0acd5ebcf4f3eadf6197298df0a3a90
- Realised P&L
- $-2.08
- Volume
- $29.37
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.920 | 1.000 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 14? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.24at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11?
- +$0.19at 0.914Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?
- +$0.17at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?
- +$0.17at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15?
- +$0.17at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |