0x6ea08210d63c488a6f4150b89c63c85f9aa37b33
0x6ea08210d63c488a6f4150b89c63c85f9aa37b33
- Realised P&L
- $-7.20
- Volume
- $178.40
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $4.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.850 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.715 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.015 | $0.13 | −$1.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.95at 0.410Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.29at 0.472Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
- +$1.93at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.560Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:09 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.96 |
| 09-17 08:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 15:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 09:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 01:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 02:54 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 18:53 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 09:47 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999219 | $1.87 |
| 08-28 23:59 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 12:37 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 12:35 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 01:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 04:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |