0x6e9C8dDfd894692563C27B559B090599B5028842-1781792563671
0x6e9c8ddfd894692563c27b559b090599b5028842
- Realised P&L
- $-1.04
- Volume
- $3.87
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $33.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.835 | $33.40 | +$12.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.280Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30?
- +$1.00at 0.600Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?
- +$0.60at 0.430Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?
- +$0.35at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?
- +$0.28at 0.274Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:14 | Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? | SELL | 0.261 | $0.28 |
| 11-02 00:14 | Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.509 | $0.61 |
| 11-02 00:14 | Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.45 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.12 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027? | SELL | 0.134 | $2.35 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week? | SELL | 0.25244 | $5.05 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.702 | $14.04 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.461 | $16.10 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? | SELL | 0.6249974987 | $24.99 |
| 10-29 10:53 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $0.97 |
| 10-29 10:53 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 14:31 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |