0x6E9Bb70122c5b0e363dF9D4D8704b1a21827f14c-1775736578220
0x6e9bb70122c5b0e363df9d4d8704b1a21827f14c
- Realised P&L
- $83.61
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $613.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.02at 0.329Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$42.31at 0.252Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.28at 0.210US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 12:06 | Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.3681592035 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 12:06 | Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election? | BUY | 0.019629725 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 12:42 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0938575933 | $300.00 |
| 04-22 07:04 | Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%? | BUY | 0.022964451 | $4.61 |
| 04-21 16:15 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0779999929 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 16:15 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 04-21 16:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3499999953 | $30.00 |
| 04-21 16:13 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0350815646 | $5.00 |
| 04-21 16:11 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3526763949 | $50.00 |
| 04-21 16:10 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0392641891 | $5.00 |
| 04-21 16:08 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 04-17 18:00 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $64.28 |
| 04-16 18:36 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.3099999968 | $50.00 |
| 04-16 18:34 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6071368598 | $72.31 |
| 04-16 18:34 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $302.01 |