JiuMoZhiDaShi
0x6e9aae003e8daa08b3791c1ecbb500f4bd37d9d7
- Realised P&L
- $972.50
- Volume
- $210.3k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No | 0.614 | 0.926 | $2.6k | +$876.14 |
| Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.824 | $1.1k | −$104.88 |
| Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.910 | $200.18 | +$107.79 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.278 | $121.32 | +$10.27 |
| Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.920 | $51.57 | +$20.18 |
| Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.820 | $40.18 | +$10.29 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.895 | $4.47 | +$0.88 |
| Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.871 | 0.955 | $3.06 | +$0.27 |
| USDE depeg by December 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $2.20 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.780Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$825.59at 0.813EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$681.41at 0.789Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$553.61at 0.780No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$518.74at 0.886Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 02:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3240812009 | $64.34 |
| 07-29 02:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.46 |
| 07-01 11:34 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8078399925 | $129.80 |
| 06-04 07:41 | Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $29.89 |
| 05-20 02:33 | Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.12 |
| 05-15 14:54 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $53.50 |
| 05-14 09:45 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.254 | $111.04 |
| 05-06 08:39 | Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | SELL | 0.00728392 | $1.82 |
| 04-23 21:48 | Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.76 |
| 04-23 05:42 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8676804626 | $1.4k |
| 04-17 04:13 | USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5518888741 | $166.07 |
| 04-17 04:13 | USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5735305253 | $242.37 |
| 04-16 11:32 | USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6200687703 | $1.2k |
| 04-16 02:26 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8509683064 | $437.65 |
| 04-16 02:19 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.8k |