0561
0x6e9a6afde1e8bd4a0c7bf2809cf87fe14c00f3bb
- Realised P&L
- $18.3k
- Volume
- $5.20M
- Markets traded
- 1,035
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,035
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.128Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$3.5kat 0.126BitBoy convicted?
- +$3.3kat 0.001Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$1.9kat 0.394LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$1.7kat 0.386Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-13 16:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.8885 | $177.70 |
| 10-13 16:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-13 16:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 10-13 16:17 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $688.43 |
| 10-13 16:15 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $211.23 |
| 10-13 16:13 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.24 | $277.32 |
| 10-13 16:09 | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 10-13 16:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | SELL | 0.84 | $409.39 |
| 10-13 15:52 | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $159.36 |
| 10-13 15:52 | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $183.20 |
| 10-13 15:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-13 15:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $141.76 |
| 10-13 15:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 10-13 14:55 | Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |