PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0561

0x6e9a6afde1e8bd4a0c7bf2809cf87fe14c00f3bb

Realised P&L
$18.3k
Volume
$5.20M
Markets traded
1,035
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,035
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8940.905$905.00+$11.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? · Yes0.8680.860$847.81−$7.47
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? · Yes0.9991.000$688.78+$0.35
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · No0.9240.961$672.35+$25.55
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9951.000$544.20+$2.23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9390.968$328.95+$9.69
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9200.905$271.50−$4.50
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.9100.867$86.70−$4.30
Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM? · Yes0.8280.982$63.83+$10.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · Yes0.1800.210$60.91+$8.70
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5570.565$56.50+$0.83
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% by June 30, 2027? · No0.8250.900$36.00+$3.00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0980.175$29.75+$13.03
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9851.000$26.89+$0.39
Panama Canal effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9000.986$22.83+$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 17:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.92$184.00
10-13 16:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.8885$177.70
10-13 16:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.87$8.70
10-13 16:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.87$43.50
10-13 16:17Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.999$688.43
10-13 16:15Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?SELL0.86$211.23
10-13 16:13Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.24$277.32
10-13 16:09Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.997$199.40
10-13 16:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?SELL0.84$409.39
10-13 15:52Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.995$159.36
10-13 15:52Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.994$183.20
10-13 15:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.88$8.80
10-13 15:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.89$141.76
10-13 15:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.89$178.00
10-13 14:55Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM?BUY0.96$4.80