GeminiPro
0x6e88825b942995dc7ea9544ba7aa2396759ab52a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $252.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $128.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.077 | $128.28 | +$28.33 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.44 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.50at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
- +$0.49at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
- +$0.40at 0.987Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
- +$-0.30at 0.060US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
- +$-2.50at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:16 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $19.66 |
| 02-06 21:31 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $0.99 |
| 02-06 21:27 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 02-06 21:27 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 02-04 19:02 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.0415806738 | $246.45 |
| 02-04 19:01 | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.0080774678 | $36.61 |
| 02-03 23:48 | US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $41.84 |
| 02-03 23:09 | US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $45.22 |
| 02-03 19:11 | US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.28 |
| 02-03 18:05 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $332.00 |
| 02-03 18:00 | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0476427457 | $100.00 |
| 01-31 13:57 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4952368777 | $1.5k |
| 01-31 13:40 | US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.1797304038 | $200.00 |
| 01-31 13:39 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-28 23:41 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0092402995 | $10.00 |