bilibobz
0x6e81749ae7578ac46b44817fe0c663c83709864b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 389
- Open portfolio
- $297.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded389
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.35at 0.140Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$26.00at 0.480Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?
- +$24.38at 0.353Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
- +$20.87at 0.389Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
- +$17.06at 0.190Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 16:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 05-19 20:37 | Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 05-18 09:19 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.30 |
| 05-13 16:53 | Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 05-13 16:31 | Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.77 |
| 05-12 22:44 | Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 05-07 22:31 | Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.116 | $2.32 |
| 04-24 13:38 | Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.45 |