PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

bilibobz

0x6e81749ae7578ac46b44817fe0c663c83709864b

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$34.4k
Markets traded
389
Open portfolio
$247.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded389
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.5051.000$85.49+$42.27
Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6450.600$23.40−$1.75
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7000.975$19.49+$5.49
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3500.915$18.30+$11.30
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5400.455$17.83−$3.34
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · No0.7981.000$16.99+$3.43
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.3500.670$13.40+$6.40
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3700.600$12.00+$4.60
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8800.550$11.00−$6.60
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.465$9.30−$3.30
Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8200.340$4.53−$6.40
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6100.220$3.39−$6.01
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.600$2.83+$0.24
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4500.215$2.15−$2.35
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.7000.966$1.93+$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 16:54Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.55$5.50
05-19 20:37Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?BUY0.91$18.20
05-18 09:19Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?SELL0.6$6.30
05-13 16:53Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?SELL0.49$4.90
05-13 16:31Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.14$5.77
05-12 22:44Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY0.54$10.80
05-07 22:31Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.116$2.32
04-24 13:38Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?SELL0.66$6.45