wookong
0x6e6df825c70318a4d19186be13cf472ea43a2d64
- Realised P&L
- $-293.69
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $57.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.784 | 0.905 | $23.07 | +$3.07 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.817 | 0.875 | $10.72 | +$0.72 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.855 | $10.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.290 | $6.90 | −$3.10 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.675 | $4.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.458 | 0.065 | $2.13 | −$12.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.35at 0.427Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
- +$63.04at 0.336Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
- +$50.24at 0.810Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- +$31.28at 0.390Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$28.37at 0.340Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 07:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $8.36 |
| 08-15 05:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.984 | $11.05 |
| 08-15 05:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.996 | $14.22 |
| 07-31 04:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.984 | $5.72 |
| 07-30 04:46 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | SELL | 0.73 | $8.48 |
| 07-29 13:50 | Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 13:39 | Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagal | SELL | 0.999 | $7.03 |
| 07-29 13:20 | Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagal | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 16:10 | Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayot | SELL | 0.999 | $1.28 |
| 07-28 14:33 | Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayot | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 14:13 | Targu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu | SELL | 0.801 | $1.10 |
| 07-28 14:07 | Targu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu | BUY | 0.7269995071 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 13:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.384 | $2.48 |
| 07-27 13:51 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.401 | $6.06 |
| 07-27 07:36 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |