ertruytyi
0x6e6db82dfd15aea396bb51f8737781fc9fb25c79
- Realised P&L
- $-3.21
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $53.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.975 | 0.974 | $13.63 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $13.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.967 | $12.63 | +$0.06 |
| Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? · No | 0.893 | 0.885 | $8.26 | −$0.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $6.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.857 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.900Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$1.00at 0.900Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$0.61at 0.952Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$0.48at 0.920US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 07:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9969998603 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 07:41 | Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 07:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8569999829 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 07:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999881 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 07:38 | Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999889 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 05:33 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.00 |
| 06-22 05:31 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.00 |
| 06-22 05:28 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 05:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $84.00 |
| 05-28 05:22 | Will Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 29? | BUY | 0.9979996747 | $3.00 |
| 05-28 05:20 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 05:15 | ITF Wuning: Han Shi vs Ankita Raina | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 01:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.985999998 | $6.00 |
| 03-31 02:37 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.30 |