0x6e6ceb124dbda7711e09de01775ed8329ed7e358
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $506.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.931 | 0.958 | $491.66 | +$13.63 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$14.99 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$14.99 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$14.99 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.765 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.818Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
- +$2.1kat 0.859Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.8kat 0.866Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.796Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$754.33at 0.850Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 05:46 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $201.71 |
| 10-25 05:46 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $8.09 |
| 10-23 16:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7649733806 | $7.4k |
| 10-23 15:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.766 | $2.9k |
| 10-23 15:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.764 | $404.67 |
| 10-23 15:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.3k |
| 10-23 15:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.758 | $1.4k |
| 10-23 04:54 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.9421708568 | $189.25 |
| 10-23 01:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.768 | $424.77 |
| 10-23 01:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.767 | $368.16 |
| 10-23 01:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.764 | $311.17 |
| 10-23 01:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.763 | $113.11 |
| 10-23 01:48 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.951 | $57.06 |
| 10-23 01:48 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.953 | $55.30 |
| 10-23 01:48 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.954 | $381.60 |