polmar001
0x6e6ceb124dbda7711e09de01775ed8329ed7e358
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $564.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $25.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.818Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
- +$2.1kat 0.859Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.8kat 0.866Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.796Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$754.33at 0.850Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.879999912 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 06:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.5k |
| 09-16 06:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.1k |
| 09-16 06:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $4.6k |
| 09-16 06:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $484.00 |
| 09-16 06:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $49.59 |
| 09-16 06:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 06:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $19.97 |
| 09-16 01:43 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $89.31 |
| 09-16 01:41 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $73.99 |
| 09-15 13:24 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $350.41 |
| 09-15 13:24 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.68 | $240.04 |
| 09-15 13:24 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.68 | $286.28 |
| 09-15 11:57 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 09-15 11:56 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $27.99 |