0xblue.pop
0x6e6b653870ea1cd378f413911a2f191ff1f7f2e9
- Realised P&L
- $-37.43
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.102 | $2.56 | −$5.19 |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.140 | $1.66 | −$2.37 |
| Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.050 | $0.91 | −$1.09 |
| Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 4? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.51 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.65at 0.058Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?
- +$5.63at 0.310Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$5.40at 0.202Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?
- +$4.97at 0.751Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$4.06at 0.031Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-14 10:55 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $14.82 |
| 01-11 05:56 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999798 | $9.19 |
| 01-06 11:41 | Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 11:41 | Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 12-30 04:08 | Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | BUY | 0.0979999571 | $2.00 |
| 12-30 04:08 | Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | BUY | 0.7509999942 | $15.00 |
| 12-29 00:44 | No airdrop in 2025? | SELL | 0.146 | $3.21 |
| 12-06 12:23 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.70 |
| 12-06 12:16 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 12-05 17:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.45 |
| 12-05 16:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BUY | 0.96 | $26.40 |
| 12-05 16:57 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.45 |
| 12-05 15:16 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | SELL | 0.078 | $1.95 |
| 12-05 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BUY | 0.9669999992 | $23.67 |
| 12-04 10:29 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |