0x6E6017d21a15CA836ABCaFbDF31defCbc0B39e3F-1762372460096
0x6e6017d21a15ca836abcafbdf31defcbc0b39e3f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $256.9k
- Markets traded
- 783
- Open portfolio
- $18.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded783
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.057Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$1.9kat 0.756Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
- +$718.85at 0.707Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
- +$644.36at 0.553Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?
- +$333.55at 0.103Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:38 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 22:36 | Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 22:35 | Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-18 22:35 | Will Trump say "Pledge" or "Pledged" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-18 22:34 | Will Trump say "Terminated" or "Terminating" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-18 22:34 | Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-18 22:33 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-18 21:56 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.76 |
| 09-18 21:50 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.04 |
| 09-18 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 18:20 | Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.40 |
| 09-11 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |