PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pangbo

0x6e4ec3aac6225a6c93d8cc35f81078de4373c31d

Realised P&L
$-8.13
Volume
$469.21
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$2.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.0780.021$1.05−$2.95
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9510.983$1.03+$0.03
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down on January 16? · Up0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.8730.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 09:39Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
07-01 12:27Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
07-01 12:22Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
07-01 12:19Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.77$2.00
02-11 13:27Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?SELL0.91$4.94
02-11 13:27Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL0.95$5.17
01-27 13:47Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.9509999905$1.00
01-25 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.8699999913$0.99
01-25 12:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.41$0.95
01-25 03:06Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.8599999828$2.98
01-25 02:53Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.8699999983$4.97
01-25 02:42Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.9699999981$10.00
01-25 02:40Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
01-25 02:21Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.75$4.91
01-25 02:15Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1099999685$3.00