pangbo
0x6e4ec3aac6225a6c93d8cc35f81078de4373c31d
- Realised P&L
- $-8.13
- Volume
- $469.21
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.021 | $1.05 | −$2.95 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.951 | 0.983 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 16? · Up | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up | 0.873 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.487Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$3.18at 0.367Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.61at 0.757Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$1.34at 0.380Solana Up or Down - January 18, 6AM ET
- +$0.58at 0.775Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 09:39 | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 12:27 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 12:22 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 12:19 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 02-11 13:27 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.94 |
| 02-11 13:27 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.17 |
| 01-27 13:47 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |
| 01-25 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $0.99 |
| 01-25 12:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.95 |
| 01-25 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $2.98 |
| 01-25 02:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $4.97 |
| 01-25 02:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 02:40 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 01-25 02:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $4.91 |
| 01-25 02:15 | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |