PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Phantom69

0x6e4b8009426dd540f27797ffc326188c223b3c6d

Realised P&L
$21.0k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$948.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · No0.5770.575$287.50$0.93
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? · No0.2660.288$229.13+$17.34
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference? · No0.6640.705$200.52+$11.78
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.0750.057$153.10$47.71
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No0.0980.182$58.36+$26.99
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · No0.6100.050$20.00$224.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:27Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?BUY0.2662080092$211.79
09-15 21:37Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.5768662$288.43
09-15 21:36Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.6634865078$185.39
09-15 21:23Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.9571128239$4.7k
09-15 19:05Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.82$4.1k
09-15 18:45Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.0979177994$28.82
09-15 16:21Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.0709782809$98.04
09-15 16:20Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.86$103.20
09-15 08:35Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.1$2.55
09-14 16:01Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.083$73.05
09-14 16:00Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.72$108.00
09-14 08:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7$17.77
09-14 08:30Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.6978451533$3.2k
09-13 16:24SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5BUY0.5645289241$500.00
09-13 16:22Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.61$225.93