0x6e3e82Ee7ec4FE3757e57137BeF4B7c119273252-1770815301972
0x6e3e82ee7ec4fe3757e57137bef4b7c119273252
- Realised P&L
- $-369.29
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $123.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.800 | $123.08 | +$23.08 |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.34at 0.144Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$31.00at 0.190Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?
- +$24.15at 0.505Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
- +$6.42at 0.181Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.72at 0.490Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 11:45 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999987 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 18:36 | Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 18:36 | Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 18:35 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 12:25 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0679999988 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 12:24 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $111.58 |
| 06-22 12:23 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0549999989 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 12:23 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-16 19:32 | Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 19:31 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1765509238 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 16:10 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.512 | $3.07 |
| 04-06 16:10 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.82 |
| 04-06 16:10 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 04-06 16:10 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.46 |
| 04-06 16:10 | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.76 |