PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x6e3e82Ee7ec4FE3757e57137BeF4B7c119273252-1770815301972

0x6e3e82ee7ec4fe3757e57137bef4b7c119273252

Realised P&L
$-369.29
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$123.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.6500.800$123.08+$23.08
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$50.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$20.00
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$50.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$100.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$50.00
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 11:45Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999987$50.00
06-22 18:36Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
06-22 18:36Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
06-22 18:35Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
06-22 12:25Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0679999988$50.00
06-22 12:24Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.197$111.58
06-22 12:23Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0549999989$50.00
06-22 12:23Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0129999997$50.00
06-16 19:32Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.649999999$100.00
06-16 19:31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1765509238$100.00
04-06 16:10Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.512$3.07
04-06 16:10Trump out as President before GTA VI?SELL0.47$2.82
04-06 16:10Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$3.06
04-06 16:10New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?SELL0.41$2.46
04-06 16:10Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?SELL0.46$2.76