0x6e378174C7761a7006D26Ececa94E342D81e2849-1779342433278
0x6e378174c7761a7006d26ececa94e342d81e2849
- Realised P&L
- $-806.15
- Volume
- $124.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.205 | $2.9k | −$364.04 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.210 | $789.69 | −$1.1k |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.569Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.800US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
- +$589.39at 0.238Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$481.82at 0.638Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
- +$312.82at 0.390Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 18:21 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.5499999921 | $14.00 |
| 07-22 18:20 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.5209906243 | $1.8k |
| 07-22 18:18 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.3524693465 | $1.8k |
| 07-15 04:50 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2799999998 | $600.00 |
| 07-15 04:49 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | SELL | 0.021 | $603.44 |
| 07-12 03:41 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.0479999968 | $14.00 |
| 07-12 03:38 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.041644736 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 03:36 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2899999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-12 03:34 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2180104245 | $2.4k |
| 07-12 03:33 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.274187766 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 03:32 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3571163402 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 03:25 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2492991671 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 03:22 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.0k |
| 07-12 03:09 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.3374287902 | $70.00 |
| 07-12 03:08 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.3168579603 | $100.00 |