PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6e378174C7761a7006D26Ececa94E342D81e2849-1779342433278

0x6e378174c7761a7006d26ececa94e342d81e2849

Realised P&L
$-806.15
Volume
$124.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2310.205$2.9k$364.04
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.5090.210$789.69$1.1k
Israel closes its airspace by July 15? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$64.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$499.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 18:21Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.5499999921$14.00
07-22 18:20Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.5209906243$1.8k
07-22 18:18Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.3524693465$1.8k
07-15 04:50Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2799999998$600.00
07-15 04:49Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELL0.021$603.44
07-12 03:41Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.0479999968$14.00
07-12 03:38Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.041644736$50.00
07-12 03:36Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2899999991$200.00
07-12 03:34Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2180104245$2.4k
07-12 03:33Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.274187766$100.00
07-12 03:32Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3571163402$100.00
07-12 03:25Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.2492991671$100.00
07-12 03:22US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.91$3.0k
07-12 03:09Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.3374287902$70.00
07-12 03:08Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.3168579603$100.00