0x6E35F901bf88F7B0eb6E87Fb3C8e23C524dB8ca4-1767542008034
0x6e35f901bf88f7b0eb6e87fb3c8e23c524db8ca4
- Realised P&L
- $17.6k
- Volume
- $157.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $999.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.309Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$7.0kat 0.579UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$2.0kat 0.687UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$1.6kat 0.650Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$1.2kat 0.523Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 03:17 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $6.5k |
| 09-20 02:34 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.463030303 | $30.56 |
| 06-02 16:37 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $292.59 |
| 06-02 16:23 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 06-02 09:16 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.56 | $566.93 |
| 06-02 05:46 | Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.7 | $13.79 |
| 06-02 04:33 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BUY | 0.25 | $7.06 |
| 05-16 17:10 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 05-16 12:19 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | BUY | 0.57 | $712.50 |
| 03-09 16:42 | Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5668435316 | $200.00 |
| 03-09 15:23 | Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.49 | $294.00 |
| 03-09 13:37 | Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.6336633657 | $276.19 |
| 01-06 04:46 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.3494577719 | $10.63 |
| 01-04 19:46 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.3 | $17.21 |
| 01-04 19:33 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.3 | $372.46 |