kionlyjoe
0x6e3301bca6008d060254e2c09fb2fa4df306c867
- Realised P&L
- $9.27
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $130.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.990 | $49.48 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.987 | $49.33 | +$0.03 |
| USDC depeg by December 31? · No | 0.980 | 0.990 | $31.69 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.947Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$1.20at 0.939Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
- +$1.15at 0.950Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.10at 0.977Will Solana reach $120 in May?
- +$0.85at 0.976Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 09:18 | Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |