0x6E2E81903b5B898e4E031C301406B7718cAd1b55-1736643832985
0x6e2e81903b5b898e4e031c301406b7718cad1b55
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $149.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $483.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$177.06at 0.450Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$155.57at 0.232Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$132.68at 0.081Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$79.15at 0.176Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
- +$60.30at 0.493Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:22 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0129999995 | $27.65 |
| 08-05 06:21 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0069999998 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 06:20 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 06:08 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 06:06 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.006 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 05:33 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0597630504 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 05:30 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.025 | $140.74 |
| 08-05 05:21 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0479999991 | $51.37 |
| 08-05 05:20 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.012 | $55.92 |
| 08-05 05:19 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0479999947 | $8.41 |
| 04-24 22:43 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.022 | $27.47 |
| 04-24 22:42 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $22.50 |
| 04-24 20:09 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $82.35 |
| 04-24 20:07 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $75.00 |
| 04-24 20:05 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.022 | $44.00 |