PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

schlomosgoy

0x6e2dec88d242d97b3661508ec57481349ccd6130

Realised P&L
$-9.0k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$26.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0420.102$20.3k+$11.8k
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0120.018$3.1k+$1.0k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0200.026$2.8k+$661.51
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00−$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$20.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.3950.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 17:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.0899999993$5.00
10-20 21:59Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0191943446$390.00
10-20 18:38Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0250238457$270.43
10-04 01:53Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.012$2.20
10-04 01:39Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0268392329$290.05
10-04 00:57Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.011$428.61
10-04 00:50Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.027$258.42
10-04 00:48Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0381673352$368.69
10-04 00:48Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0751606354$936.09
09-26 15:17Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0094878371$100.00
08-23 13:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSELL0.999$24.26
08-23 13:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.6999999959$17.00
08-23 12:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.5954844415$100.00
08-23 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.5299999986$50.00
07-19 19:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.394999987$10.00