schlomosgoy
0x6e2dec88d242d97b3661508ec57481349ccd6130
- Realised P&L
- $-9.0k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $26.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.102 | $20.3k | +$11.8k |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.018 | $3.1k | +$1.0k |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.026 | $2.8k | +$661.51 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.395 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.8kat 0.058Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$2.4kat 0.093Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
- +$1.6kat 0.888Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$1.2kat 0.193Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$910.72at 0.094Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 17:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 21:59 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0191943446 | $390.00 |
| 10-20 18:38 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0250238457 | $270.43 |
| 10-04 01:53 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.20 |
| 10-04 01:39 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0268392329 | $290.05 |
| 10-04 00:57 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $428.61 |
| 10-04 00:50 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.027 | $258.42 |
| 10-04 00:48 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0381673352 | $368.69 |
| 10-04 00:48 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0751606354 | $936.09 |
| 09-26 15:17 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0094878371 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 13:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $24.26 |
| 08-23 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999959 | $17.00 |
| 08-23 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5954844415 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 19:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.394999987 | $10.00 |