PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

eleazar

0x6e24d0b3924613cc34a41e8cf1ff07cf529f8266

Realised P&L
$8.4k
Volume
$582.1k
Markets traded
518
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded518
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.865$1.7k−$30.00
Will Hanwha Life Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? · No0.3461.000$544.06+$355.92
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.2230.255$535.50+$66.50
Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · No0.7230.690$500.17−$23.75
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · No0.6450.535$481.50−$99.50
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0090.018$285.89+$144.89
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2200.235$235.00+$15.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9100.974$219.04+$14.36
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0050.006$216.55+$54.97
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0270.153$214.20+$176.87
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.6150.570$211.01−$16.78
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.5500.545$163.49−$1.50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Dplus KIA0.4400.415$124.49−$7.50
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9620.980$97.95+$1.75
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0420.012$86.54−$215.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 23:56Will LYON win Worlds 2026?BUY0.007$13.99
10-31 23:55Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?BUY0.015$18.00
10-31 23:55Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?BUY0.014$5.51
10-31 18:13LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.22$110.00
10-31 17:51Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?BUY0.0154519809$13.09
10-31 17:44LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.61$18.29
10-31 17:30LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.56$112.00
10-31 17:25LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4$40.00
10-31 00:44Will LYON win Worlds 2026?BUY0.015$0.24
10-31 00:17LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.32$96.00
10-30 23:44LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.1$100.00
10-30 22:25LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.24$72.00
10-30 22:24LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.29$87.00
10-30 21:13LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.13$39.00
10-28 23:30Will LYON win Worlds 2026?BUY0.018$0.36