BABILABI
0x6e209f1cd1f9cec708409e515e5e4389da5445ab
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $338.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.205 | $2.6k | +$1.1k |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.042 | $579.60 | −$2.7k |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.021 | $62.06 | −$42.34 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $22.10 | −$1.47 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.46 |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.801 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.234US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.611Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$2.9kat 0.438US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.458Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$2.0kat 0.370US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 06:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $86.00 |
| 07-07 22:02 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.74 |
| 07-07 21:47 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7699999957 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 20:45 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.07 | $77.00 |
| 06-20 21:53 | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $312.00 |
| 06-20 21:52 | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $300.00 |
| 06-19 23:09 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.575543125 | $46.04 |
| 06-19 23:08 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $43.03 |
| 05-27 17:50 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 22:13 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.202 | $1.01 |
| 05-16 22:09 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5575575623 | $200.00 |
| 04-15 14:47 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4009999996 | $300.00 |
| 04-12 21:05 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $77.24 |
| 04-08 00:36 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.3k |
| 03-27 23:16 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9448433991 | $2.5k |