BABILABI
0x6e209f1cd1f9cec708409e515e5e4389da5445ab
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $357.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.165 | $2.1k | +$567.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.686 | 0.600 | $1.1k | −$154.80 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.070 | $20.63 | −$2.95 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.46 |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.801 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Down | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.234US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.611Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$2.9kat 0.438US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.458Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$2.0kat 0.370US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 19:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $14.50 |
| 08-16 18:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0070573761 | $97.39 |
| 08-07 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2543682794 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999922 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999976 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |