0x6e12e47a09c33091b5cd3fbe88239441579c0cc2
0x6e12e47a09c33091b5cd3fbe88239441579c0cc2
- Realised P&L
- $16.36
- Volume
- $626.26
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $5.53
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.535 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.930 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.545 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · No | 0.690 | 0.545 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.135 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.075 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$6.19at 0.251Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:27 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:19 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:15 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:44 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:07 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:06 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:06 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:04 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:30 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:30 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:41 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:06 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:47 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:37 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |