PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6e12e47a09c33091b5cd3fbe88239441579c0cc2

0x6e12e47a09c33091b5cd3fbe88239441579c0cc2

Realised P&L
$16.36
Volume
$626.26
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$5.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes0.3400.535$1.57+$0.57
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.6100.930$1.52+$0.52
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.5500.545$0.99−$0.01
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · No0.6900.545$0.79−$0.21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2800.135$0.48−$0.52
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.075$0.17−$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 02:27Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-11 06:19Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-10 22:15Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-10 13:50Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-10 05:44Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-09 19:07Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 11:06Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 03:06Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:04Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-08 10:30Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-08 02:30Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-07 14:41Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 14:06SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-06 15:47Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.64$1.00
10-06 11:37Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.6699999196$1.00