nky2026
0x6e0fbc6a10be558bfb92968d7150fc7b585e9a05
- Realised P&L
- $217.50
- Volume
- $271.9k
- Markets traded
- 494
- Open portfolio
- $1.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded494
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$845.92at 0.650US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$248.12at 0.263Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
- +$134.59at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?
- +$99.73at 0.322Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 31?
- +$91.54at 0.130Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.53 |
| 08-02 02:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 07-29 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 07-29 00:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.30 |
| 07-28 21:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.11 |
| 07-28 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 07-27 23:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 07-27 23:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 07-25 19:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-24 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.42 |
| 07-22 20:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.28 |
| 07-22 20:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.69 | $26.22 |
| 07-22 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.88 |