nky2026
0x6e0fbc6a10be558bfb92968d7150fc7b585e9a05
- Realised P&L
- $166.55
- Volume
- $278.5k
- Markets traded
- 566
- Open portfolio
- $50.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded566
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26? · No | 0.800 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$9.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$4.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$845.92at 0.650US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$243.93at 0.273Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
- +$136.50at 0.628Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?
- +$98.55at 0.328Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 31?
- +$90.85at 0.136Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8594436331 | $123.58 |
| 09-22 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.02 |
| 09-13 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.85 |
| 09-13 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.95 |
| 09-12 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.82 | $31.89 |
| 09-11 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.64838 | $19.45 |
| 09-09 18:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-09 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 08-27 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.39 | $18.15 |
| 08-26 00:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-25 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.69 |
| 08-25 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25? | SELL | 0.1838007602 | $9.19 |
| 08-25 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 08-21 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.954 | $47.70 |
| 08-21 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.78 | $31.20 |