AndersonA
0x6dffcc59579fa0e49f2c8773b7d9dffbaefb4dda
- Realised P&L
- $-18.58
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $9.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.425 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.280 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.250 | $1.63 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.230 | $1.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.275 | $1.33 | −$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.080 | $0.91 | −$0.59 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.47at 0.686Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$4.17at 0.960Kings vs. Clippers
- +$2.37at 0.006Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.34at 0.460Pacers vs. 76ers
- +$0.77at 0.794Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1312499934 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $1.50 |
| 09-22 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3904915312 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.91 |
| 07-18 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.3836769814 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 02:13 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $23.68 |
| 06-13 03:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 06-13 01:20 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 01:23 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0069999997 | $27.63 |
| 05-06 14:45 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 03-15 04:56 | Kings vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.9599999962 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 02:18 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.3722339246 | $26.86 |