fdmrihaod
0x6df4391122f4f1d6380e9380728dc31e8644d3fa
- Realised P&L
- $-8.98
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $96.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $20 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $52.08 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 September 21-27? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $44.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.52at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$0.22at 0.996Will Solana reach $160 in July?
- +$0.16at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
- +$0.15at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:25 | Will Solana dip to $40 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $45.00 |
| 09-21 14:24 | Will Solana dip to $20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.08 |
| 08-12 13:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $62.44 |
| 08-12 13:01 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.03 |
| 08-12 13:00 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.25 |
| 07-06 07:32 | Will XRP reach $1.70 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.70 |
| 07-06 07:26 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999807 | $38.80 |
| 07-06 07:22 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.9959999978 | $59.69 |
| 06-18 14:14 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.996 | $41.70 |
| 06-18 14:13 | Will Solana reach $120 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.998999989 | $37.55 |
| 06-18 13:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.63 |
| 05-28 06:41 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $61.97 |
| 05-28 06:39 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.00 |
| 05-28 06:39 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:38 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999717 | $31.09 |