0x6df13174cdbedcc9df5a9d89393b59c07124faa9
0x6df13174cdbedcc9df5a9d89393b59c07124faa9
- Realised P&L
- $6.65
- Volume
- $263.01
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $13.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$5.89at 0.280US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$5.89at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.07at 0.360US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.64at 0.470Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:47 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:46 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:51 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:01 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:07 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:57 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:57 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999734 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 18:49 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29? | BUY | 0.809999865 | $1.02 |
| 09-23 10:49 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999804 | $2.29 |