0x6de07cae19b1e9de47b46fbf72ab822ef9a89414
0x6de07cae19b1e9de47b46fbf72ab822ef9a89414
- Realised P&L
- $3.56
- Volume
- $159.98
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $3.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? · No | 0.410 | 0.495 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.700 | 0.610 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.355 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.82at 0.268Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:57 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:57 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:56 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:17 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $165 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:57 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:39 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 8? | BUY | 0.2449999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:26 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:49 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:47 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:26 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:26 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |