PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6DdEBC81c797a021f8bD9ceAA92a010A8c50a579-1762763858654

0x6ddebc81c797a021f8bd9ceaa92a010a8c50a579

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$41.4k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$637.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1550.168$162.28+$12.28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.635$127.00−$3.00
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.5720.570$97.26−$0.37
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$84.44+$4.45
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.082$82.08+$2.08
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7300.735$40.98+$0.28
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0330.030$26.94−$3.06
Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0250.021$16.65−$3.35
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 6? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No0.0390.000$0.00−$250.00
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26? · No0.4740.000$0.00−$200.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No0.3260.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 02:47Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7299999955$40.70
10-07 02:45Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.283$42.45
10-06 18:00Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.5721852716$97.63
10-06 17:58S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 6?SELL0.3904685942$78.33
10-06 17:57Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.65$130.00
10-06 17:52S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6?BUY0.0239842955$10.00
10-06 17:51S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 6?BUY0.0095580729$10.00
10-06 17:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 6?BUY0.4985044865$100.00
10-06 17:38Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0334094803$30.00
10-06 17:38Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0246302035$20.00
10-06 17:37Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.09$80.00
10-06 17:36Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0799232836$80.00
10-06 17:35Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1548208412$150.00
10-06 17:20Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2$30.00
05-26 10:57Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.0389824596$250.00