0x6DD9e1856f35FA69f645c84C9A3dCa2f07706C86-1774590249806
0x6dd9e1856f35fa69f645c84c9a3dca2f07706c86
- Realised P&L
- $245.42
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $71.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.405 | $36.84 | −$3.16 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.245 | $35.11 | −$9.89 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes | 0.428 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.33at 0.206Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?
- +$57.50at 0.216Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?
- +$54.96at 0.319Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August?
- +$32.34at 0.238Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
- +$28.09at 0.270Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:11 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 13:11 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 02:59 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.422812189 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 02:58 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? | BUY | 0.3099999978 | $40.00 |
| 09-02 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 15:46 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 15:45 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 06:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August? | BUY | 0.2045454446 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 05:55 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? | BUY | 0.2 | $21.00 |
| 08-03 05:13 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August? | BUY | 0.3099999926 | $25.00 |
| 07-16 09:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.415 | $13.18 |
| 07-14 13:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 08:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1179999802 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 16:24 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999902 | $10.00 |