deepervalue
0x6dd5cc74ae9d53b95000a9d99b81f4457b13dd4b
- Realised P&L
- $667.32
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $984.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · No | 0.599 | 1.000 | $667.47 | +$267.47 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.585 | 0.996 | $170.14 | +$70.14 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%? · Over | 0.680 | 0.996 | $146.40 | +$46.40 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.48 |
| Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? · No | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.87 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.752 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.779 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$533.49at 0.683Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$213.82at 0.740Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$188.83at 0.797Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$109.76at 0.831Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$108.68at 0.638Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 05:14 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.11 | $9.58 |
| 09-13 21:34 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1721679867 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 19:56 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.1213681876 | $18.06 |
| 09-13 18:12 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.380672043 | $56.64 |
| 09-13 14:35 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 11:38 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.84 | $150.00 |
| 09-13 10:51 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 20:08 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.5850957255 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 09:53 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 10:15 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 10:15 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.3338360649 | $169.26 |
| 08-28 21:27 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.5916770754 | $300.00 |
| 08-28 21:21 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.5785346835 | $300.00 |
| 08-28 21:09 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 20:26 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7524999978 | $200.00 |