0x6DD3089CB0bB0BBf86aBA80Cf1a6Cb530565F7d3-1741731384792
0x6dd3089cb0bb0bbf86aba80cf1a6cb530565f7d3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $290.0k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $78.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.115 | $78.43 | −$17.05 |
| Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.4k |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$197.60 |
| Will Oceania Win the WSOP Main Event · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.05 |
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? · No | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$442.11 |
| Will Asia Win the WSOP Main Event · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$206.55 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$192.40 |
| Will Sincere Rhea win Love Island USA Season 8? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.42 |
| Will Africa Win the WSOP Main Event · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.144Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$960.00at 0.360Chiefs vs. Jaguars
- +$870.00at 0.420Yankees vs. Blue Jays
- +$847.00at 0.577Broncos vs. Chargers
- +$837.84at 0.165SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 21:39 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.16 | $250.12 |
| 08-07 13:26 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 08-07 13:26 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.51 |
| 08-07 13:26 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.16 | $74.83 |
| 08-07 13:26 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.14 | $95.48 |
| 08-07 13:25 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.15 | $153.73 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | SELL | 0.88 | $36.96 |
| 07-15 00:14 | Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 07-14 20:56 | Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 07-14 11:59 | Will Oceania Win the WSOP Main Event | SELL | 0.0014651163 | $0.32 |
| 07-14 11:58 | Will Africa Win the WSOP Main Event | SELL | 0.0018695652 | $0.21 |
| 07-14 11:58 | Will South America Win the WSOP Main Event | SELL | 0.002 | $0.83 |
| 07-14 11:58 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | SELL | 0.9 | $371.79 |
| 07-14 11:56 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | SELL | 0.91 | $67.80 |
| 07-14 05:13 | Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |