xfhu89
0x6dc7868bd0a8a95de7d5298a4a070a718933d589
- Realised P&L
- $297.50
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $39.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.980 | $23.82 | +$1.45 |
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.860 | $15.48 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$292.79at 0.540Bucks vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.60at 0.950Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
- +$0.98at 0.960Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.29at 0.984Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.20at 0.830No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 01:45 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.61 |
| 02-26 01:44 | Will the price of Solana be above $140 on February 28? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $2.00 |
| 02-26 01:44 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.14 |
| 02-26 01:43 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.77 |
| 02-26 01:42 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.33 |
| 02-26 01:42 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.994999791 | $3.00 |
| 02-26 01:25 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.916 | $12.53 |
| 02-26 01:24 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.884 | $5.24 |
| 02-04 14:10 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $34.96 |
| 09-30 12:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $49.49 |
| 04-24 10:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $49.10 |
| 02-14 10:25 | Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? | BUY | 0.9939999987 | $3.03 |
| 02-14 10:25 | Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.984 | $17.86 |
| 02-14 10:25 | Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.96 | $23.50 |
| 02-14 10:24 | Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $44.38 |