0x6DC51efCE4200e6E041d523d49B260f1cF1484c1-1768784864544
0x6dc51efce4200e6e041d523d49b260f1cf1484c1
- Realised P&L
- $311.25
- Volume
- $109.9k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $415.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.120 | $134.72 | +$52.51 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.195 | $90.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.071 | $62.02 | +$10.02 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.005 | $42.19 | −$60.93 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.045 | $36.93 | −$55.48 |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.125 | $36.81 | −$13.19 |
| Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.129 | $9.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.053 | $3.05 | −$4.95 |
| Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.90 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$594.25at 0.090Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$248.96at 0.059Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$194.29at 0.096Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$164.03at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$136.13at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:26 | Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.1697701309 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 05:24 | Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1345962101 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:19 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 09-15 20:23 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.0240747376 | $243.61 |
| 09-15 09:31 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0369468383 | $62.00 |
| 09-14 18:02 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0315774624 | $220.00 |
| 09-13 20:57 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.034 | $29.00 |
| 09-13 06:27 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0322137116 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 06:24 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $50.00 |
| 08-19 13:41 | Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.3077909673 | $20.90 |
| 08-18 06:40 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $22.50 |
| 08-08 12:03 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $29.99 |
| 08-08 04:50 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0699999954 | $13.35 |
| 08-08 04:47 | Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.1009016889 | $14.70 |
| 08-08 03:03 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.87 |